Key Support for British Pound: Rebound Strategies in Focus 

In this comprehensive analysis, Ultima Markets brings you an insightful breakdown of the GBPUSD for NOV 12th, 2024. 

Key Takeaways 

• Long-term bullish for the pound: Supported by a strong global risk environment, gradual rate cuts by the Bank of England, and favorable UK economic growth prospects relative to Europe, the pound cross has room to continue to strengthen. These factors, combined with resilience to geopolitical risks, suggest that the pound is particularly strong against the euro. 

• Pressure on euro depreciation: The pound rose to a two-and-a-half-year high against the euro as the market continues to expect a very modest rate cut from the Bank of England. Under the leadership of US President-elect Trump, the UK may not be front and center in the looming trade war. If the ECB cuts interest rates by a further 50 basis points in December, the euro will face huge pressure to depreciate. 

Technical Analysis 

Daily Chart Insights 

• Stochastic oscillator: The indicator sends a short signal at the median line, and the market price faces selling pressure. It is worth noting that the indicator enters the oversold area later. If the exchange rate cannot fall rapidly, there may be a probability of bottom divergence. 

• Resistance area: Last week, I shared that even if the Bank of England chooses to cut interest rates, it will still be difficult for GBP/USD to break through the resistance range. The dotted 200-day MA is a strong support level. The exchange rate is approaching this price again this week. If it effectively falls below 1.285, there is a probability that the pound will depreciate deeply. 

1-hour Chart Analysis 

• Stochastic oscillator: The fast and slow lines slow down after entering the oversold area, and then send out a bullish signal. Based on the bearish signal of the daily cycle, if the hourly cycle sends out a falling signal again, it is worth paying attention to the left entry opportunity. 

• Downward trend line: The rebound during the Asian session looks to the vicinity of the downward trend line. If it breaks through the first downward trend line, it looks to the second downward trend line, which is also near the black 65-period MA. Based on the strong support of the daily line, GBP/USD still focuses on the idea of ​oscillating rebound before breaking the previous low. 

Pivot Indicator 

(GBPUSD M30 Chart, Source: Ultima Markets APP) 

• According to the trading central in Ultima Markets APP, the central price of the day is established at 1.2900, 

• Bullish Scenario: Bullish sentiment prevails above 1.2900, first target 1.2930, second target 1.2960; 

• Bearish Outlook: In a bearish scenario below 1.2900, first target 1.2845, second target 1.2825. 

Conclusion 

To navigate the complex world of trading successfully, it’s imperative to stay informed and make data-driven decisions. Ultima Markets remains dedicated to providing you with valuable insights to empower your financial journey. 

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Comments, news, research, analysis, price, and all information contained in the article only serve as general information for readers and do not suggest any advice. Ultima Markets has taken reasonable measures to provide up-to-date information, but cannot guarantee accuracy, and may modify without notice. Ultima Markets will not be responsible for any loss incurred due to the application of the information provided.